10. Model, Prediction & Decision (IB533 110.1)

Unit Outlines:
■ Logistic Regression
§ method:glm(… , family = binomial)
§ model fitting & prediction
§ interpreting the coefficients
■ Measures of Model Accuracy
§ Accuracy, Sensibility, Specificity
§ Confusion Matrix and Accuracy Metrics
§ ROC and AUC
■ From Prediction to Decision
§ Dist. of Predicted Probabilities
§ The Critical Threshold
§ Confusion Matrix
§ Payoff Matrix
§ Max. Expected Payoff
§ Assumptions & Simulation

Notebooks
◆ UNIT10A: Logistic Regression (unit10A.html)
◆ UNIT10B:LogisticReg. – The Coefficients (unit10B.html)
◆ UNIT10C LogisticReg. – Model Accuracy (unit10C.html)
◆ UNIT10D Model Prediction vs. Business Decision (unit10D.html)

Material Download:
◆ Unit10 Share Folder 【 10LogisticReg
◆ Unit10 Slides ( 10_LogisticReg.pttx )
◆ Unit10 Codes & Data ( 10_LogisticReg.zip )

Unit10a  Personal Assignments : Due at  2022/1/2 (Sun) 23:59
Register to edX and sign in to MIT’s  The Analytic Edges course with audit option
Finish Unit3-1  Modeling the Expert: An Introduction to Logistic Regression
Do the quiz in a Rmd, knit the HTML  and
upload it to 【 i.html/AnalEdge3 】with filename “<student.id>_AnalEdge2.html
Unit10b  Personal Assignments : Due at  2022/1/9 (Sun,) 23:59
§ Complete the Quiz in unit10C & unit10D
§ unload to 【 ~/i.html/unit10/
§ with file names “_unit10<C|D>.HTML” respectively

Video Recording:
◆ Unit10 Video Recording

References :
◆  Portal of Big Data BA Platform
◆  R: Self Learning Roadmap
◆  John Hopkins: R Programming online course
◆  John Hopkins: R Programming eBook
◆  Harvard: Data Science online course
◆  Harvard: Data Science ebook
◆  From Data to Viz
◆  Probability Cheat Sheet (pdf)
◆  Intro. Probability and Statistics Using R (IPSUR)
◆  Statistical Analysis Using R, UCLA (URL)
◆  CLUSTER ANALYSIS IN R: PRACTICAL GUIDE (URL)
◆  Principal Component Methods in R: Practical Guide (URL)