{"id":6813,"date":"2026-10-21T14:12:16","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T06:12:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/?page_id=6813"},"modified":"2026-10-21T14:15:17","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T06:15:17","slug":"8-probabilities-ib533-2026-09","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/?page_id=6813&lang=en","title":{"rendered":"8. Probabilities (IB533 2026.09)"},"content":{"rendered":"<h5 style=\"padding-left: 20px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\"><b>Unit Outlines\uff1a<\/b><\/span><\/h5>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 60px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6 Business Analytics Process as a Data Pipeline<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u3002 Data, Stat., Visual, Model, Predict, Simulate, Optimize<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 60px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6 The Concept of Probability &amp; Distribution<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 60px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6 Model and Modeling Process<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u3002 Method and Method Parameters<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u3002 Model and Model Coefficients<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u3002 The Trade off between Sensibility &amp; Generality<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 60px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6 Strategy Making is a Communication Process<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u3002 Model, Predict, Simulate, Visual<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u3002 Strategy Space: Alternatives in the Space of Objectives<\/span><\/h6>\n<hr \/>\n<h5 style=\"padding-left: 20px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\"><b>Unit Notebook\uff1a<\/b><\/span><\/h5>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 60px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6 Data Case: The Old Faith (<a href=\"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/bap2\/2026\/1151ib533\/enFaith2ax.html\">enFaith2ax<\/a>)<\/span><\/h6>\n<h5 style=\"padding-left: 20px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\"><b>Interactive Shiny App\uff1a<\/b><\/span><\/h5>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 60px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6 The Old Faith Business Case (enFaith2a.Rmd)<\/span><\/h6>\n<hr \/>\n<h5 style=\"padding-left: 20px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\"><b>Google Drive\uff1a\u00a0<\/b><\/span><\/h5>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 60px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6 Unit08:\u00a0 [ <a href=\"https:\/\/drive.google.com\/drive\/folders\/1rTfn8dR7j5knmdfdj_J_e8n0ApVFEu8W?usp=drive_link\">~\/ib533\/08_IntroProb\/<\/a> ]<\/span><\/h6>\n<hr \/>\n<h5 style=\"padding-left: 20px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\"><b>Unit08 Assignment\uff1a Due: 2026\/11\/03 (Tue.) 08:00<\/b><\/span><\/h5>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 60px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\"><b>Group Assignment<\/b>: Midterm Video Presentation<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">Prepare a 8 minutes video to be delivered in the class of 11\/06<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">Upload your video, html and pttx files to<\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 120px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">[ <a href=\"https:\/\/drive.google.com\/drive\/folders\/1cvrskhNDEPU5hebI6YYNt_q20WcRe-GX?usp=drive_link\">~\/group\/<\/a>Group#\/ ] with filenames &#8220;G#_Midterm.mp4\/html\/pttx&#8221;<\/span><\/h6>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 60px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\"><b>\u53c3\u8003\u9023\u7d50\uff1a<\/b><\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.data-to-viz.com\/\">From Data to Viz<\/a><\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/\">Portal of Big Data BA Platform<\/a><\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/?page_id=2039&amp;lang=en\">R: Self Learning Roadmap<\/a><\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6\u00a0 John Hopkins: R Programming <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coursera.org\/learn\/r-programming\">online course<\/a><\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6\u00a0\u00a0John Hopkins: R Programming <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cs.upc.edu\/~robert\/teaching\/estadistica\/rprogramming.pdf\">eBook<\/a><\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6\u00a0\u00a0Harvard: Data Science <a href=\"https:\/\/www.edx.org\/professional-certificate\/harvardx-data-science\">online course<\/a><\/span><\/h6>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6\u00a0 Harvard: Data Science <a href=\"https:\/\/rafalab.github.io\/dsbook\/?fbclid=IwAR1x6AsYApxZb5VUIK8KIaUxH-bP6vkOP0KejwCjyajHoDuKHrVlijyzDDc\">ebook<\/a><\/span><\/h6>\n<hr \/>\n<h6 style=\"padding-left: 90px;\"><span style=\"font-family: terminal, monaco, monospace;\">\u25c6 Week07c Video Recording<\/span><\/h6>\n<hr \/>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Unit Outlines\uff1a \u25c6 Business Analytics Process as a Data Pipeline \u3002 Data, Stat., Visual, Model, Predict, Simulate, Optimize \u25c6 The Concept of Probability &amp; Distribution \u25c6 Model and Modeling Process \u3002 Method and Method Parameters \u3002 Model and Model Coefficients \u3002 The Trade off between Sensibility &amp; Generality \u25c6 Strategy Making is a Communication Process \u3002 Model, Predict, Simulate, Visual \u3002 Strategy Space: Alternatives in the Space of Objectives Unit Notebook\uff1a \u25c6 Data Case: The Old Faith (enFaith2ax) Interactive Shiny App\uff1a \u25c6 The Old Faith Business Case (enFaith2a.Rmd) Google Drive\uff1a\u00a0 \u25c6 Unit08:\u00a0 [ ~\/ib533\/08_IntroProb\/ ] Unit08 Assignment\uff1a Due: 2026\/11\/03 (Tue.) 08:00 Group Assignment: Midterm Video Presentation Prepare a 8 minutes video to be delivered in the class of 11\/06 Upload your video, html and pttx files to [ ~\/group\/Group#\/ ] with filenames &#8220;G#_Midterm.mp4\/html\/pttx&#8221; &nbsp; \u53c3\u8003\u9023\u7d50\uff1a \u25c6\u00a0\u00a0From Data to Viz \u25c6\u00a0\u00a0Portal of Big Data BA Platform \u25c6\u00a0\u00a0R: Self Learning Roadmap \u25c6\u00a0 John Hopkins: R Programming online course \u25c6\u00a0\u00a0John Hopkins: R Programming eBook \u25c6\u00a0\u00a0Harvard: Data Science online course \u25c6\u00a0 Harvard: Data Science ebook \u25c6 Week07c Video Recording<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-6813","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/6813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6813"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/6813\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6817,"href":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/6813\/revisions\/6817"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bap2.cm.nsysu.edu.tw\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}